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The Boys Youth Maliek Collins Jersey , weve been tracking the Cowboys playoff chances since Week 1, even though there were some questions about why we would be talking about the playoffs after losing the season opener. The Cowboys are now 2-2, and we continue with our weekly look at the Cowboys playoff odds, even as folks continue to think posting Jim Moras Playoffs? rant is still somehow original 12 years after it happened.Well start off todays look at the playoff odds with this convenient reference chart which shows the historic playoff odds since realignment in 2002 for every relevant W/L record.At 2-2, the historic playoff odds for the Cowboys stand at just 36%. Which looks a little strange considering that 0-0 teams and 1-1 teams have better odds than 2-2 teams. But this has a lot to do with the number of games remaining. If we consider that 11 wins gets you a sure playoff berth (in most years), then 0-0 teams need an 11-5 record - or a .688 winning percentage - to make the playoffs. But a team already at 2-2 needs to finish the season with a 9-3 record (.750 winning percentage) to get to 11-5, and that higher required winning percentage is why the odds of making the playoffs are lower for a 2-2 team than a 1-1 or 0-0 team. But the historic odds are just one way of looking at playoff odds. Here are four more:Fivethirtyeight.comIn an Elo-based calculation that takes into account scoring differential, last seasons record (to an extent) http://www.cowboyscheapauthenticstore.com/deonte-thompson-jersey-cheap , the unexpected nature of their wins and more, the site gives the Cowboys a 38% chance of making the playoffs, pretty much in line with the historic odds.Football OutsidersAnother source for playoff odds comes from our good friends at Football Outsiders. Heres how FO see the playoff odds for winning the division, getting a bye week, or gaining a wild card berth: With a 34% chance at the playoffs for the Cowboys, FO is pretty much in line with the historic odds. VegasOddshark shows that the Cowboys have improved their odds of winning the NFC East to +275 after opening the season with +333. Current Odds to win NFC East:Philadelphia Eagles -118 (opening: -180)Dallas Cowboys +275 (+333)Washington Redskins +350 (+700)New York Giants +1200 (+700)Pythagorean Win ProjectionsWe looked in detail at the Pythagorean Formula in last weeks playoff tracker and saw that it would have taken a big win against the Lions to move the projection noticeably.The Cowboys did win against the Lions, but only by two points, so the Pythagorean win projection for the Cowboys after four weeks is at a lowly 7.0 wins http://www.cowboyscheapauthenticstore.com/kavon-frazier-jersey-cheap , and thats certainly not enough for a playoff berth.But all of this is just a snapshot. So heres the question the next few weeks need to answer: Are the 2018 Cowboys a playoff contender whose offense was simply off to a slow start to the season and is now finding its groove? Or are the four games so far indicative of what the 2018 Cowboys are - a middling team with an eight-win ceiling?Randy Gregory wanted nothing to do with Jason Garrett after his end-of-first-half penalty Weve gotten to see Randy Gregory play football a couple of times this season, and at one point that was thought to be impossible. Gregory is in the middle of his comeback with the Cowboys, but its the team that could use some coming back. Theyre fresh off of a loss in Seattle where things went south rather quickly, and those things included Randy Gregory.Seattle was up 14-3 on Dallas at the end of the first half and the Seahawks were trying to eek out a few more points. While just out of field goal range and time ticking down, the Seahawks benefited from a Cowboys penalty. Randy Gregory got called for unnecessary roughness.The penalty put Seattle in far more makeable field goal range (Sebastian Janikowski connected on a 47-yard attempt), and it was thanks to the 15 yards that Gregory gave them after the play was over.Gregory trotted to the sideline after his penalty was clled, and he was visibly displeased. The FOX broadcast caught him getting there, and Jason Garrett seemingly calling at him only to receive no response.We dont know for a fact whether or not Gregory even heard Jason Garrett http://www.cowboyscheapauthenticstore.com/la_el-collins-jersey-cheap , but this is hardly a good look for a team that lost in overwhelming fashion. This looks like a case of Gregory not wanting anything to do with the head coach right before the half, but what Gregory did was quite costly to the team so he probably knew he was going to receive some criticism.Dallas ultimately lost 24-13 and while they were unable to get close enough to do anything near the end, imagine if Seattle hadnt pulled off that field goal at the end of the first half. Dallas would have only had one possession separating them from overtime, but if ifs and buts were candy and nuts wed all have a very good time. |
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